These graphs describe the development of COVID-19 by confirmed cases and deaths in North America, using data from the Johns Hopkins coronavirus map. The original model for these graphs was made by @ryancbriggs to create graphs for Canada’s provinces and territories; I have adapted it to doNorth America instead. You can also review the Rmarkdown source for this page.

I had made graphs describing COVID-19 in the Baltic States and was asked what they would look like for North America. I’ve made these changes, but would note a key difference in what we’re presenting here: the three Baltic States are all roughly the same size in population and comparable in population dispersion and geographic extent. Canada isn’t a third the size of the United States, it’s roughly one tenth. I had to rejig my scales in the y-axis to capture the growth of COVID-19 in the U.S.

Separately, @natesilver made a remark about the design choices of these graphs. I’d worked from earlier codewhich began graphs at the 10th case (for the Baltics, and for Canadian Provinces) which made sense for smaller numbers but appeared to create separations which might not exist for larger numbers of cases. I’d wondered about moving the base point to 100 for the Baltic graphs. Here you can compare how graphs look if you start comparing countries from when they passed the 10 case mark or when they passed the 100 case mark.

Graphs

Data current as of March 01, 2021.

Confirmed cases

Confirmed cases since 10

Confirmed cases since 100

Deaths

Deaths since first death

Copyright © 2021 Richard Martin-Nielsen.